Trump’s import tariffs: An autogeddon or just a big show?

Trump’s import tariffs: An autogeddon or just a big show?

06 April 2025

Let’s talk about something that’s shaking up the car world, a plot straight out of a bad action movie: import tariffs. And not just any tariffs, no, we’re talking about the Great American Wall of Trade, built by none other than the man with the golden hair and a penchant for big words, Donald Trump. As of April 2, 2025, they’re in effect: 25% extra tax on cars rolling into the US from Canada and Mexico, and a looming 20% on anything coming from Europe. The question is: who really wins here? Or is this just a case of everyone walking away empty-handed while the tires are still smoking?

Let’s start with the logic – or what passes for it. Trump waves his tariffs around like a cowboy with a lasso, shouting that he’s going to save American industry. “America First!” he bellows, grinning triumphantly as he makes foreign cars pricier than a steak dinner at a five-star hotel. The idea? If a Toyota from Japan or a BMW from Bavaria suddenly costs a fortune, Americans will buy a Ford or a Chevy instead. Simple, right? Well, not quite. Because the car world isn’t a straightforward sum of patriotism and steel. It’s a complicated dance of supply chains, factories hopping borders, and consumers who don’t always do what you expect.

Take the Big Three from Detroit, for instance: Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis. They’re neck-deep in factories in Mexico and Canada. Cars and parts zip across the border like it’s a daily commute. Now they’ve got to pay extra for their own stuff. Ford’s stock plummeted like a brick in a lake, GM followed suit, and even Tesla – yes, Elon Musk’s darling – felt a ripple. Musk might be Trump’s buddy, but even his electric show ponies aren’t immune to the chaos of pricier parts. And we haven’t even gotten to the Europeans yet. Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes – they’re staring at these tariffs like a cow eyeing an oncoming train. Their luxury rides are about to get so expensive you might as well buy a private jet.

But hold on, it gets even juicier. While Trump struts around with his “liberation day for the American auto industry,” experts are scratching their heads. Because what happens when you make cars more expensive? That’s right, the average American pays more. Estimates are flying around that a new Kia Carnival could cost an extra 10,000 bucks. That’s not pocket change you fish out of your jeans. Let’s be real: Yanks love their pickups and SUVs, but if they suddenly cost as much as a mortgage, they might just switch to a bike. Or worse, buy nothing at all, and then the whole industry’s left holding the bag.

Meanwhile, Europe’s gearing up to hit back. Ursula von der Leyen, the EU’s big boss, called it “deeply regrettable” – which in diplomatic speak means: “We’re furious and you’re going to hear about it.” There’s already talk of countermeasures: extra taxes on American whiskey, Harley-Davidsons, or whatever they can dream up to make Trump sweat. China’s not thrilled either. “No one wins a trade war,” they grumbled, plotting their own moves. This isn’t a poker game anymore; it’s a global game of Risk where everyone’s tossing grenades.

And then there’s the carmakers themselves. They’re in a split that’d make a gymnast jealous. BMW builds Minis in China for Europe, but if these tariffs hit, what then? Do they move everything back to Oxford? Toyota and Volkswagen have plants in the US, so they might dodge some punches, but Jaguar Land Rover? They ship more cars to America than their own backyard. For them, this is a four-wheeled nightmare. And Tesla? They might be chuckling in the corner since they build in the US, but even they’re feeling the heat from costlier supplies.

So, who wins? Trump thinks he’s the hero, posing in front of a gleaming American pickup while promising jobs. But the reality’s a mess. The US industry takes a hit from higher costs, the consumer foots the bill, and the rest of the world strikes back. This isn’t a win; it’s a crash where everyone ends up dented. Maybe the only real winner is the chaos itself – and the headlines that keep coming. Because let’s face it: whether it’s a stroke of genius or a total disaster, with this guy at the wheel, it’s never dull.